ChartTalk: Confirmation Of A Reversal Of Trend On Cards For This Stock

ChartTalk: Confirmation Of A Reversal Of Trend On Cards For This Stock

The journey of this stock has been amazing; from the low point of 19 formed in March 2020 when the markets overall made their low point following the onset of the pandemic, the following months saw this stock posting fantastic returns over the coming months.  From the lows formed near the levels of 19 in March 2020, the stock rallied and marked its high point at  236 in July 2021.

This is Firstsource Solutions Limited (FSL).

The following 12 months that followed weren’t so kind for FSL. The stock, while staying in a continued corrective decline lost over 50% of its value and went on to test the low point of 93 in June 2022.

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Over the past two months, the stock has been trying hard to mark a bottom for itself and put a potential base in place. The stock has formed a defined trading range and the most recent price action shows a strong attempt to break out of this formation and confirm a reversal.

The stock attempted a breakout on higher-than-average volumes. The relative strength continues to improve; this is evident from the RS line trying to reverse its trajectory. It has also crossed above the 50-period MA.

The MACD has shown a bullish crossover; it is above the signal line and in continuing buy mode. A fresh PSAR buy signal is also seen on the charts.

Importantly, the RSI has also shown a breakout from a pattern; this has occurred ahead of the actual price breakout. This is a bullish sign as RSI is a lead indicator and price tends to follow the RSI.

While making an attempt to break out and stage a reversal, the stock has also crossed above its 50-, and 100-DMA. If the breakout continues and if the price moves in the intended direction, it may go on and may test the levels of 200-DMA; the 200-DMA is currently placed at 129.33. 

Although the current price action triggers a fresh entry point in the stock, any close below 101 would act as a stop-loss for this trade.

Foram Chheda, CMT

ChartTalk: Price Move In This Media Stock Might Make News… Here Is Why!

ChartTalk: Price Move In This Media Stock Might Make News… Here Is Why!

Over the past couple of months, the Media stocks are showing some improvement in their relative performance against the broader markets. They had grossly underperformed in the past the most recent weeks have shown them trying to make a comeback. The Media stocks might not have been leading the market performance as of now but they are slowly inching towards their beginning of relative outperformance against the markets in general. Out of NIFTY Media  Index, Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (ZEEL) is one such stock that might see some upward revision in its price over the immediate short term.

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Following the most recent high marked near 378 levels, ZEEH has shown corrective retracements; it has bounced on a couple of occasions but has resisted the two falling trend lines as evident from the chart. The most recent price action has seen the stock developing a bullish Ascending Triangle Pattern on the chart. 

The placement of the Relative Rotation Graph shows the stock about to roll over in the improving quadrant. The OBV is seen inching sharply higher; this shows that the most recent up move that the stock saw was backed by volume participation. The RS line against NIFTY500 has also crossed above the 50-period moving average.

The RSI is seen trying to break above the falling trend line pattern resistance. The daily MACD has shown a positive crossover; it is now bullish and trades above the signal line.

Any price move above 258-260 levels will lead to a breakout from this bullish Ascending Triangle; the most immediate resistance the stock may face is the 200-DMA which is presently at 272. If this is taken out, levels of 290-292 cannot be ruled out.

Any close below 240 should be used as a protective stop for this expected move in the price.

Foram Chheda, CMT

ChartTalk: Is There A Potential Breakout In The Offing?

ChartTalk: Is There A Potential Breakout In The Offing?

This telecom stock has seen some classical technical patterns playing out very well on the charts. BHARTIARTL marked a classical double top resistance near 780  levels between November 2021 and April 2022 that spanned over five months. The most recent price action shows the price trying to chart a potential breakout with multiple pieces of evidence supporting this attempt.

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After forming a double top resistance near 780, BHARTIARTL slipped under corrective decline; this took the price near 640 over the next couple of weeks. The levels of 635-640 have acted as a strong support area for the stock multiple times as evident from the chart. The price tested this pattern support a couple of times in the recent past only to bounce back from those levels.

The most recent price action on the chart has seen the price in a narrow trading range between 640-695 levels. The price has tried to break above this pattern resistance zone by penetrating the upper trend line. As of today, the stock has closed a notch above its 200-DMA which stands at 703.07.

The RSI is also seen breaking out of a pattern formation much ahead of the price breakout which is bullish. The indicator has also marked a new 14-period high which is bullish; however, it is neutral and does not show any divergence against the price.

Over the last several months while the prices declined, OBV (On-Balance Volume) stayed sideways and did not decline with the price. This means lesser volume participation during the corrective phase of the stock.

Over the past few days, while the stock makes an attempt to stage a breakout, the volumes have remained stable around their 25-day average. The stock remains in the improving quadrant of the RRG.

There are high possibilities of the stock inching higher and confirming a breakout from the trading zone that it has formed. If the prices move on the expected lines, the possibilities of the stock testing 725 and 740 levels cannot be ruled out. Any close below 675 will fail this attempt and the projected move.

Foram Chheda, CMT

ChartTalk: Is This Metal Stock At The Cusp Of Reversal? Let’s Find Out

ChartTalk: Is This Metal Stock At The Cusp Of Reversal? Let’s Find Out

Following marking of its most high near 406 levels, VEDL witnessed a sharp secular corrective move. This move on the downside saw the stock paring over 49% of its value from its peak over the past four and half months. This corrective move also saw the stock marking its low point near 206 in the first week of July.

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However, over the past couple of weeks, the stock has made some fierce attempts to mark a bottom for itself. The most recent price action shows that RSI has shown a strong bullish divergence against the price. While the price marked lower bottom, the RSI did not. Occurances of a bullish divergences on the lead indicators like RSI contribute in a very potent manner while the stock attempts to mark a bottom for itself; more so if such bullish divergences emerge after a meaningful decline.

The stock has rolled over the improving quadrant of the RRG when benchmarked against the broader NIFTY500 index; this denotes an end to the period of potential underperformance of the stock.

There is also a formation of a small inverted head and shoulder pattern; this is a kind of a bullish reversal pattern. However, it has developed under less number of days; therefore, it may not be fractal be visible on the highe timeframe charts.

RSI has also marked a fresh 14-period high and this is bullish.

Broadly speaking, any strong move above 236 may lead to a potential reversal of trend in this stock. If this happens on the expected lines, the stock may test 265 – 272 levels over the coming weeks.

Foram Chheda, CMT

ChartTalk: Lead Indicators Suggests A Potential Upside In This Food Service Stock

ChartTalk: Lead Indicators Suggests A Potential Upside In This Food Service Stock

After forming its most recent high point in the last quarter of 2021, JUBLFOOD has been under a corrective decline. The stock has shown retracement from its highest price point and has been in a falling channel for the last eight months. Some developments on the technical charts show that the stock may hold some potential of reversal; it may put a base for itself for at least for the short term.

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Let us subject this daily chart to basic pattern analysis and see what this chart has to tell.  From the high point of 916 seen in the last quarter of 2021, the stock stayed under a corrective decline; it tested its most recent low point near 450 during the month of May.

Interesting here to note is the fact that while the stock made a lower low of 450.25 (as compared to the earlier low point of 487), a strong bullish divergence is observed on the RSI as while the price made a lower low, the RSI did not violate its earlier low.

The current moves in the price had led to the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern; this is usually a neutral pattern and can resolve on either side. However, if this is read with the bullish divergence of the RSI, it shows that there is larger possibility of the price moving higher over the coming days.

The RS line has stopped falling; it has reversed the trend and it moving higher and is above the 50-DMA.

There is a possibility that if the prices move as expected and if the technical evidence plays its role, the stock may test 580 and 700 levels over the coming days. The present form of the symmetrical triangle will break down if the price close below 500.

Foram Chheda, CMT